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1. Analyst investigation · AI13 Aug 18:52
  How often has VIC–SA held SA's evening price up this winter?
  On 23 evenings since 1 June, and SA's price passed $300.00 on 17 of them.
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SA's price went from $86.00 to $1,240.00/MWh at 18:35. VIC–SA had been at its import limit of 650 MW since 17:55, so SA could draw no more from Victoria, where the price was $84.00.

With the link full, the next megawatt SA needed came from inside SA. At 18:35 that was the SA gas peaker, running at 142 of its 150 MW, and its offer set the price. Hilltop Wind was already running at 96 MW.

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UtilisationDerived

How hard the link is running against the limit in force in its direction of flow. Values above 100% are real, because the limit moved after the target was set.

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Measured in percent.Averaged over any longer span.Computed by supagrid from AEMO data.Rebuilt 3h ago

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Utilisation48.2%

At limit4.0%

What will SA's price be at 18:35 tomorrow?

supagrid doesn't forecast prices yet, so I can't give you tomorrow's price. I can show how SA's price behaved at 18:35 over the past month, and how often VIC–SA was at its limit then.

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